We’re going to play it straight here – like Kevin Spacey did when he took his mom to the Oscars.
So we’re on the clock – this is the 543,149th mock draft on the internet thus far, but here’s the thing kids. This is the one that counts. We look at the Mock Draft like NCAA March Madness. Any man sans his balls could have picked Duke. But who had the guts to say Butler was making it to the final? Not me, I actually picked Kansas to play Kentucky. BUT NO MORE PLAYING IT SAFE. Carpe Diem friends, let’s mock this fucker up.
1. St. Louis Rams – Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
It doesn’t seem as if anyone is going to trade for this pick. If that’s the case, they either draft Bradford here or they draft Suh or McCoy here and then nab Colt McCoy with the first pick in the 2nd round and that seems highly unlikely. With A.J. Feeley as their current starting QB on the roster they’ve painted themselves into a corner and sort of have no choice.
2. Detroit Lions – Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
This is funny in a way because this would be the Matt Millen pick. Pick the obvious guy with the college credentials. But Suh is the pick here, I don’t believe they go McCoy or Okung just because Suh is too good.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
It’s been pretty much assumed the Bucs take whichever DT Detroit doesn’t take so this is probably going to happen.
4. Washington Redskins – Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Here’s where it gets interesting. The general thought is the Skins have to go tackle and it’s a choice between the “safe” pick (Okung) and the high-ceiling riskier pick (T.Willams). But in Mike Shanahan’s 11 years as coach of the Broncos he only drafted an OL twice in Round 1. He believes you can “teach” offensive lineman and take a later round pick and make him a player. His zone block running schemes were never predicated on great tackles and his short passing game also doesn’t seem to point that it’s a must have. Plus, he basically lost his job in Denver because of the defense and he’s going to want to prove people wrong. Realistically, the Skins probably want to trade the pick and it’s possible they could. But Derrick Morgan is rising fast and Shanahan is an arrogant guy who just might want to try and prove again how he’s smarter than everyone else.
5. Kansas City Chiefs – Trent Williams, OT Oklahoma
This is where a mini Okung slip occurs. Everyone seems to think that Trent Williams has a higher ceiling than Okung. The question is his work ethic, but compared to someone like Anthony Davis he’s the James Brown of OT’s. I say the Chiefs decide to take potential and go with Williams.
6. Seattle Seahawks – Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
Clausen isn’t going here because I think they believe Charlie Whitehurst is the heir apparent to Hasselback (and I like Whitehurst too). They probably want to draft Spiller here but it’s too early. So why Eric Berry over Okung? They’re both needs, but don’t forget Carroll – for all the offensive highlight reels at USC – is a defensive guy and that’s where I think he’ll want to build first and have Berry become his Ed Reed.
7. Cleveland Browns – Earl Thomas, S, Texas
Depending on your view, Thomas could go in the top 10…or somewhere after pick 20. I also don’t think Cleveland goes Clausen here because if they were so hot for him than why not negotiate to trade with the Skins at pick 4 (or just stay put) as opposed to opening up the Rams/Bradford discussion. Truth is, regardless of the position you can make the case that Thomas is the best player available at this point in an area of need for the Browns.
8. Oakland Raiders – Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
This would be ironic because it’s the Raiders who are always taking the risks on players. But if Okung falls here I think they probably feel relieved and take him quickly.
9. Buffalo Bills – Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
I think that Tebow stuff is a smoke screen. They could go Baluga, D.Williams or Bryant here too and that’s fine but if you’re going to take a chance, take it on Clausen. I mean they’re going into camp with Brad Edwards battling Ryan FitzPatrick for the starting job. I haven’t seen a battle that uninspiring since BK was posted up by a 19 year-old girl in a pick-up game outside Silver Lake Rec center.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars – Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
It’s an area of need and he’s a local guy. They’re not taking a chance on another receiver here like Bryant after they’ve been burned so many times before and the Jags coach and GM need to win now so they’ll go with need even if Pierre-Paul is a bit of a project.
11. Denver Broncos – Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
They rebuilt the DL with off season acquisitions and now it’s time to go hard with the best ILB in the draft to man the middle.
12. Miami Dolphins – Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee
Parcells might think they can create an atmosphere to inspire Williams, who is big enough and fits a need.
13. San Francisco 49ers – Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
It would not shock me if Davis falls completely out of the 1st round. But they do need an OT, apparently Singletary likes him and thinks he can get through to him and there’s no one else screaming for them here so why not go for it.
14. Seattle Seahawks – C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
This would be gift wrapped for Seattle if it happens. If Spiller is gone here, though, and Dez Bryant is still on the board I think they probably go for it.
15. New York Giants – Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri
If McClain is gone it seems almost certain the Giants go OLB. It’s just a matter of Weatherspoon, Kindle, Hughes or Graham (and probably not Graham). If there’s thought that they’re reaching here and they can’t trade down then you could look at a Joe Haden or even a Jared Odrick if they really like him. I don’t see Iupati going to the Giants here, it’s not enough of an immediate need.
16. Tennessee Titans – Brandon Graham, OLB/DE, Michigan
They need outside pass rush and better pass coverage on the corners. It’s either Graham or Haden at this point and it’s really 50/50.
17. San Francisco 49ers – Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Similar to Spiller, a nice player would fall right into the 49ers lap. However, if Haden goes a pick or two earlier than I don’t necessarily think they go with Kareem Jackson. I think Pouncey or Iupati could go here (why not) or one of those available OLB’s. I do think they’d be tempted to discuss Dez Bryant too, but I doubt they pull the trigger.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers – Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
The Steelers are looking to get safe choices and if Bulaga slips down to 18 he would be one. It’s probably Iupati or Pouncey or even Charles Brown if he doesn’t.
19. Atlanta Falcons – Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
Again, I think it’s almost certainly going to be one of the OLB’s it just depends who. I think they’d go Graham over Kindle if he would be still available.
20. Houston Texans – Jerry Hughes, OLB, TCU
I think the Texans go for a guy like Hughes who could have an impact and is from the state as opposed to a corner although Odrick could fit in here too.
21. Cincinnati Bengals – Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
It’s got to be Bryant or Gresham at this point and it’s not like Gresham’s 2009 injury doesn’t make him a risk. Still, at some point the Bengals have got to get tired of taking chances and how do OchoCinco and Bryant get along? I say they take Gresham.
22. New England Patriots – Everson Griffin, DE, USC
Another team that would be very tempted on Bryant, but I think they go Griffin here. They’ve been known to slightly overdraft players and they never really did replace Richard Seymour last year.
23. Green Bay Packers – Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama
I think when you look at what’s left on the board at this point, Jackson would be the likely pick and he’s fine. Charles Brown and even Ryan Mathews could come into play here too.
24. Philadelphia Eagles – Mike Iupati, G, Idaho
This pick seems to make all the sense in the world for the Eagles. The only other option would be like a Washington from TCU.
25. Baltimore Ravens – Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
This is where Dez finally goes. The Ravens will take chances and know they need to improve their passing game. If you assume Joe Flacco will be better than you’ve got to give him some more weapons.
26. Arizona Cardinals – Sean Lee, ILB, Penn State
The Cardinals need an inside backer and for some reason Lee just feels like the kind of pick the Cards would make.
27. Dallas Cowboys – Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
Guys like Charles Brown and Brandon Spikes don’t seem sexy enough here. So they go with a guy who’s probably at this point their highest rated player on the board.
28. San Diego Chargers – Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State
I don’t really like Mathews that much at the next level but it does seem like the obvious pick if he’s there.
29. New York Jets – Taylor Mays, S, USC
I think Rex Ryan is a cocky mofo and I think he’ll believe HE has the ability to ring out a level of performance from Mays that will match his physical talents. Plus the addition of Jason Taylor makes a pass rushing DE or OLB less necessary this early.
30. Minnesota Vikings – Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State
This could very well Roger Saffold or Charles Brown and Devin McCourtey fits too but I think Odrick fills a need and really anchors what could become a pretty dominant D-Line.
31. Indianapolis Colts – Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida
If Pouncey lasts this long I don’t see how the Colts pass him up. They’ll find a tackle they can develop sometime in 2 or 3.
32. New Orleans Saints – Daryl Washington, OLB, TCU
It seems like the pick the Saints would make. They have need at linebacker, they want to get faster, he fits their scheme despite my skepticism.
So there you have it. If BK gets around to it, we’ll post his mock too and then log in for live blogs all weekend long during the 2010 NFL Draft!